Sports Betting Tips Service

This is Winner Gambling’s sports betting tips service (tout service). My name is Aapo Mutanen, I am from Finland and I am responsible for providing this service. I’ve been working fulltime with sports betting for several years now as an independent game investor and odds calculator for a couple of services in the industry. I know the risks, the market and the bettors, but most importantly I have learned what it takes to make profitable bets in the long run. The answer is no secret: hard work and a genuine willingness to learn. I also write sometimes articles about sports betting here to Winner Gambling forums, where I discuss about betting theory and also my personal betting experiences, stories and other sports betting related stuff.

For anyone interested in winning money with sports betting constantly, I would like to offer professional analysis affordably. I have myself managed to build my bankroll year after year, so there is no doubt you couldn’t do the same with my tips with no hard work for you, but just placing the bets provided by me.

What is being offered?

I offer probability estimates and game options for a couple of European football leagues (listed below). Probability estimates include 1×2 and under/over 2,5 percentages. Game options include in detail all the information you need to know to make the best value bets available, as presented in the following example. All you need to do is to place the bets to online bookmakers provided by me to your email - all the hard work analysing every game available and finding profitable bets is done by me!

Example of the format of probability estimates and game options provided to you via email:

Probability estimates (Date/Game/1×2 percentages/u/o 2,5 percentages):
11.11.2008 Manchester United - Chelsea 42-30-28 u/o 2,5 50-50
11.11.2008 Everton - Stoke 70,5-20-9,5 u/o 2,5 48-52

Game options (Date/Game/Pick/Line/Rate/Percentage estimate/Booker/Bet in units):
11.11.2008 Manchester United - Chelsea 1 +0 1,80 60% Pinnacle 5/10
11.11.2008 Manchester United - Chelsea o2,25 2,05 57% Pinnacle 8/10
11.11.2008 Everton-Stoke 1 -1 1,75 61% 188bet 5/10

(Don’t worry if you are not familiar with all the terms in examples above, for example “o2,25″ or what “8/10″ means in “Bet in units”; these will be explained later, so just read on).

I will tip game options for five bookers only to keep things as easy as possible and to save hassle from you in moving money between several bookmakers. Betting sites used are following: Pinnacle Sports, 188Bet, 12Bet and SBObet. About ~75% of the total turnover tipped in weekly picks will go to 12Bet and SBObet combined, ~20% to 188Bet and rest ~5% to Pinnacle if you are pondering how to distribute your bankroll between these bookers. We always publish in picks email what booker of these offers the best odds for every bet at the time of publishing the picks, but you should check yourself if there are better odds available on other bookers at the time you are placing the tipped bets yourself. Sometimes you can get a few 0.0X’s better odds at some other booker than the mentioned one in the picks email, especially if you are unable to place the bets immediately after picks email has arrived to clients (you are away from computer or so at that time and have opportunity to place bets hours later). You can compare odds in real time at many sites - one good free one being Beat Bookies.

So if you don’t already have accounts at these five bookers, you should register to each of them to fully benefit from the service. Notice that all of these bookers also offer welcome bonuses, which you can clear while following the tips as a nice extra bonus. You can read more about the welcome offers on our best sportsbooks page. It is also a good idea to make accounts to other bookers listed on that page so that you can always get the best odds whatever games you are betting to. The more accounts you have at dirrent bookies, the better odds you always get. Also it is very convinient to have moneybookers and/or neteller account for moving your bankroll between bookmakers if needed.

Leagues

Tips are being offered to four different football leagues. I have concentrated on European football - as you can imagine it is impossible for one person to maintain profitable analysis on several sports because there are only 24 hours in a day. My choice is European football and leagues tipped are:

La Liga (Spain)
Premier League (England)
Serie A (Italy)
Veikkausliiga (Finland)

How will I provide the percentage estimates and when?

Probability estimates for games and game options I will send twice a week to my clients’ emails. First, preliminary estimates and game options I will update in the beginning of the week for the following weekend, by Tuesday 24:00 GMT+2 the latest, when the clients can get their hands on the juicy early-liners. These emails will be sent with *earlys* in the subject line. Second, the final estimates I will update with the latest information usually the night before the game, or by the game day 14:00 GMT+2 the latest, when I will complete the bet with changes that may have occurred early in the week with the estimates and changes in the markets. These emails will have *update* in their subject line. For the weekly round I will provide estimates and game options the following day after the last round by 24:00 GMT+2. Decimal odds are being used in the game options.

Why my estimates and game options?

As I told you before, I have worked full time with betting for several years now. Unlike other providers in the business, I have a completely reliable and carefully detailed tracking, which is the cornerstone of all betting. From this day on (9.12.2008) I will update my weekly tracking at Winner Gambling’s tracking page where even the non-customers of the service can see it. All my previously tipped games this year can be found at old tracking page. All the bets available at old tracking have been presented at public forums, so it is for sure accurate and real. Current tracking is being monitored and proofed through independent third party surveillance team (Bettingadvice.com), so every possible customer can be sure that results are 100% real for sure in our tracking. Some instances providing same kind of tipping services are not this honest and don’t provide tracking at all or provide fake tracking. In this service we believe in 100% visibility and honesty and therefore we provide weekly tracking (visible to even non-customers) based on all the tipped bets.

I play all the bets I tip myself too, so my own bankroll correlates strongly with the clients’.
In additions to profitable estimates, the cycling ratio of the bankroll influences greatly the speed of the growth in the bankroll. With my estimates there will be dozens of bets per week, and with the average betsize being about 6 units, that should make the total bet for three leagues 150 units/round. Betting is more carefully reviewed in the game types page, but with the unit bet of (1/10) being 0,3%, the total bet per week will be around 50% of the bankroll, which is good enough bankroll cycling ratio for professional betting for players of all levels. If you want to avoid variance, I recommend 0,2% unit size instad of 0,3%. Note that the figures will change a lot weekly, monthly and even yearly, but the point is, that with my tips you can expect your bankroll to grow nicely, since the stake cycling ratio is fast enough.

Apart from the tracking, my strong point is a good price/quality ratio. With a 5000€ bankroll a player can expect to gain profit after the monthly service expenses, not to mention if the bankroll is several thousand or tens of thousands euros. If your bankroll is lower than this or in low four figures, it is a good idea to build it up a bit for example with casino bonuses or poker before starting to sports bet with this tipping service.

Now if you got interested, you should continue on reading to betting and game types page and price and order details page. If something is unclear or you want to ask questions or give feedback and comments, you can do it in this dedicated tipping service comments thread at our forums.