Stoke -Tottenham just finished. Quite a sick game, worth every 27 euros/month! Two penalty kicks, two red cards both to the Spurs, one player to the hospital. First penalty at 19 min got Stoke to 1-0 lead, Tottenham gets soon even from obvious offside situation. Second half, Delap (Stoke) hits a leading goal. Tottenham's Corluka injures seriously and is taken to the hospital by ambulance. Stoke gets a chance to solve the game by penalty but the shooter hits the ball to the right post where it moves to the left post and another player gets a shot and the ball goes.... in the upper bar! Second half overtime was incredible 11 minutes because of Corlukas injury. Tottenham is the only club still without victory.
So this thread is probably useless when Aapo starts his betting service?
Definitely NOT useless.
This is a great thread to discuss about possible value bets not included/noticed in Aapo's Premier League tips (estimates are always opinions based on everyone's own algorithms and there is no absolute "correct" estimates ever!)
AND about Aapo's tips too - just don't discuss specifically on Aapo's estimates like this before the game day 3PM: "According to Aapo's estimates percetentages are 52-18-30 and best bet is X @ Pinnacle 2.16....".
After 3PM on the game day you can discuss on Aapo's exact percentage estimates and game options too, since the last updates are provided latest at 2PM on the game day (usually earlier) so the customers have atleast an hour to place the final bets before open publishment (usually with better odds).
But even before that "deadline" you can of course post your own estimates/disagreement on percentage estimates or better odds selection to the games if you happen to notice some on other bookers for example outside the four used within the service. Just don't copy/paste Aapo's exact estimates to the forums before the above "deadline". Every other way discussion is free (and even encouraged!) about Premier League bets/matches definitely!
Last edited by Winnergambling; 08-12-2008 at 20:40.
Peixinho (08-12-2008)
First weekend over with Aapo's tips. Got the Aston Villa - Bolton right, but when Arsenal and Porstmouth didn't manage to beat their rivals, I took a total of €100 loss. Chelsea, Liverpool and ManU played draws in their own games so this round was pretty difficult for bettors. Seems like lottery if you only look at this round.
Arsenal is weird, they can beat any club, but they can lose to any club also. Betting for Arsenal is difficult and odds for them aren't usually so great. Hull City is a great club, and you get very good odds for it, I hope they will keep playing in the same spirit! I'm sure no one expected they're being 6th in the league in the middle of the season!
Starts now!
Completely meaningless game for both clubs.
I gambled and made: Blackburn to win, 17.5, 3/10, Pinnacle
Betfair's live-bet odd to Blackburn 17 (without comission)
Liverpool is a huge favorite to win this match but the odds are too low to bet for Liverpool. So I betted Villa +1,75 odds 1,68 at 12bet. I think o/u is about 50/50 so also made u2,5 odds 2,265 at 12bet also.
I didn't bought the tips this time so have to think the bets myself. I still don't use any fancy formulas to calculate odds, but I use some time and browse 4-5 sites and then I estimate the odds in my head. Maybe the fancy formulas come along in the future or maybe not. So this is only a hobby for me, but any suggestions and comments are welcome!
I'm planning to post my bets more regularly this season. Should I post here or open a new thread, perhaps a betting blog? As I said, I have no illusions that I am a winning player at sportsbetting, this is just a hobby. Perhaps a blog from an amateur wouldn't be so interesting?
fff
Last edited by Peixinho; 25-08-2009 at 18:45.
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