Yes, I wasn´t clear enough on the terms in the beginning, sorry about that. I see your point now, or I atleast think I do. The money not lost is as good as money won in a -EV situlation.
I think this got a bit on the wrong tracks, as I was interested on what is the chance of gain playing the €500 in these machines. But after thinking about this for few days, I´m beginning to feel it´s "a bit" over my head to count this...
I suppose it would take counting the brobability of every possiple win, and mixing that with some funky deviation formulas, compared to stack size... Maybe it´s better to let him do the testing in live enviroment, and see how it goes.
He started playing, and is €2 up after playing €4, so it looks like he might be up to something.With stakes like this, I´m wondering if his strategy relies on stalling so long that I forget...


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With stakes like this, I´m wondering if his strategy relies on stalling so long that I forget...
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